Option Trading: The Ins And Outs
The decision to enter into the universe of Option Trading is an important one: these days, investors have a vast array of information in regards to options available so they can make informed decisions. Indicators, commentaries from Wall Street professionals as well as market indicators are available to the average investor. Still, like the game of Craps, the down-side is that stock options trading can be complex and unpredictable, so investors should tread lightly when considering advice or indicators when investment decisions are made.
To determine whether or not a stock price will travel above or below the strike price for a call or a put in the business of option trading, investors often use technical analysis, which involves not only past performance of the stock but analytical determinations as to what the future performance of the stock will be. While technical analysis and charts may be helpful to investors for many reasons; this type of analysis is often faulty and unreliable.
In accordance with the market's nature, attempting to nail down stock price moves by technically analyzing averages, volume changes, as well as other standards is, at best, an enormously dubious science. Due to the fact that both current and possible future events are not taken into consideration when it comes to the technical analysis aspect of option trading, in a sense, many of the working characteristics of technical analysis cannot be considered any more than witchery, on account of the fact that the underlying basis of the analysis tend to get quite foggy.
When trying to make assessments about the options market many investors currently use some type of indicator-based analysis tool to help them. These indicators not only look at what has happened in the past they also analyze what is happening now which helps them provide feedback about what will probably happen in the future, thus giving the investor the best possible guidance in making their market and investment decisions.
The most useful of these tools for the option trading investor is the MACD indicator. Short for Moving Average Convergence and Divergence, this indicator measures the movement of a company's 50 day moving average versus their 200 day moving average and analyzes the difference between the two. Today, this is a good indicator for observation only, but in the past this was used as a stronger analysis tool.
The weakness of the MACD indicator, as with many technically based tools, is that the tool was prone to a phenomenon called whipsaw, which is very counterproductive in option trading, as it involves the buying of shares before a drop in prices or selling before a rise. Option traders today use this indicator less as a measure of what they should do, and more as a guiding tool to help them evaluate the market for successful trading.
Stock options trading is a very complex area of investing. Technical analysis and different types of indicators are some of the resources that a new investor can turn to in making decisions about trading. In option trading, any facet of the technical analysis is principally a guessing game as the definitions get foggier as the present and future events are not calculated into the analysis. As an alternative, many investors turn to the use of other indicators and tools when making some determinations in the option markets. The most useful of these tools is the MACD indicator.
Published June 16th, 2008
Filed in Finance
